Wrexham will not be promoted to the Championship this season, according to a League One supercomputer.
The supercomputer is a probability model which does not obey human prediction or bias. It estimates the outcome of each remaining fixture based upon a team’s current actual league position and form, as well as betting market odds – before simulating the remaining games in a season 10,000 before spitting out an average league table to omit anomalous results.
Not exactly a new construct, supercomputers have been predicting sporting results for years now, although they’re not always entirely correct. And in Wrexham owner Ryan Reynolds’ case, he’ll also be hoping that the SkinLords supercomputer has also missed the mark with its own predictions for the 2024/25 League One campaign.
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That’s because if the expectations ring true, Birmingham City will win the league with 100 points, while Wycombe Wanderers trail in second by two. Stockport, Barnsley, Huddersfield and Charlton will make up the play-off places, while Wrexham will agonisingly miss out on their own chance of promotion by a single point.
According to the supercomputer, Wrexham will finish the season with 22 wins, 14 draws and 10 losses to their name – finishing with a respectable 80 points in seventh-place with a respectable goal difference of 23. And while it would be a brilliant initial campaign in League One for the Dragons, there’s no doubt that Reynolds and co-owner Rob McElhenney are aiming higher.
It could always be worse for the duo, of course, with the supercomputer also predicting that Crawley, Shrewsbury, Cambridge United and Burton Albion will be relegated back to the depths of League Two for the 2025/26 campaign. Reynolds and McElhenney have breathed a new lease of life into AFC Wrexham since completing their takeover of the club in February 2021.
The side finished second in the National League in their first full season under new ownership, before breaking into League Two with a first-place finish in 2022/23. The 2023/24 campaign would also prove fruitful for Wrexham, who managed to achieve promotion to League One through a second-place finish behind league leaders Stockport.
And while many fans were worried as to how Wrexham would fare as they began climbing into the more prestigious leagues, the Welsh side have silenced any doubts whatsoever halfway through the current campaign. After 23 games played, the side – managed by Phil Parkinson – has achieved 14 wins, six draws and just three defeats, sitting comfortably in second place a single point behind Birmingham City, although the Blues have two games in hand over them.
Should Wrexham continue to impress home and away, they may well be on track to prove the supercomputer’s predictions wrong, and clinch their third successive promotion into the realms of the second tier of English football – a level which they haven’t seen since 1982.
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